Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 13.315883 15.570622 18.032526 20.912554 24.181258 27.767598 31.991753
2025-04-27 10.167550 13.404571 17.304050 22.307794 28.514153 35.912387 45.346846
2025-05-04 8.011081 11.632361 16.347949 22.846585 31.463955 42.381352 57.121796
2025-05-11 6.383430 10.083536 15.235560 22.775657 33.340857 47.403224 67.274427
2025-05-18 5.117549 8.734359 14.085962 22.349109 34.500169 51.376335 76.165294
2025-05-25 4.149951 7.617881 13.047505 21.851990 35.374342 54.878389 84.518129
2025-06-01 3.393368 6.679436 12.107421 21.320997 36.049223 58.035002 92.483790
2025-06-08 2.693942 5.694385 10.925886 20.218934 35.668766 59.512889 97.987003
2025-06-15 2.439149 5.459249 10.956002 21.074303 38.415121 65.869721 111.169644
2025-06-22 2.158760 5.119745 10.746034 21.475045 40.418949 71.165759 123.003444
2025-06-29 1.821455 4.598233 10.122801 21.057792 40.975886 74.145572 131.321010
2025-07-06 1.491977 4.023734 9.309120 20.181328 40.625298 75.568799 137.158964
2025-07-13 1.380917 3.939021 9.499669 21.309615 44.105261 83.904083 155.329232
2025-07-20 1.286508 3.881250 9.751763 22.616319 48.085957 93.472123 176.344977
2025-07-27 1.140665 3.662342 9.624181 23.141481 50.645781 100.742013 193.912848
2025-08-03 0.975496 3.350164 9.234873 23.066228 52.026976 105.988211 208.269916
2025-08-10 0.815982 3.008612 8.715254 22.634366 52.641787 109.852419 220.380453
2025-08-17 0.679304 2.692818 8.198525 22.131659 53.044736 113.319301 231.941700
2025-08-24 0.563774 2.405937 7.699429 21.594777 53.307020 116.507795 243.140775
2025-08-31 0.445953 2.069398 7.000962 20.480461 52.208546 116.959996 249.234165
2025-09-07 0.413905 2.027458 7.105846 21.345345 55.515893 126.287826 272.598980
2025-09-14 0.370686 1.929531 7.032945 21.750526 57.822320 133.740044 292.735001
2025-09-21 0.310722 1.742711 6.660326 21.328651 58.195196 137.271998 305.427544